More than 30% of voters would back the far-right PVV if an election were held now, according to the first opinion poll since the new parliament was sworn in.

The PVV is projected to win 47 of the 150 seats, the highest number for any party in a poll since 2006. The rise of 10 seats since the election coincides with a drop in support for the right-wing liberal VVD, which stands to lose six of its 18 MPs.

The left-wing partnership GroenLinks-PvdA is three seats down but would still be the second largest faction with 22, while support for Pieter Omtzigt’s centre-right NSC is stable, with a projected 19 seats, one down since the election.

The poll by Ipsos for TV current affairs show EenVandaag also shows trust in VVD leader Dilan Yesilgöz has fallen steeply since the election, with just over half (53%) of people who backed the party last month still supporting her.

Asylum law

Voters were particularly critical of Yesilgöz’s attempts to pass a motion calling on the Senate to freeze its debate on the so-called “spreading law”, which would allow the government to override local councils when deciding where to place accommodation for asylum seekers, during the coalition talks.

A watered down version of the motion was passed this week but ,early four in 10 VVD voters disapproved of the plan. One voter called it a “stupid move” and asked “what the VVD really wants”, given that the minister who drafted the law, Eric van der Burg, is a party colleague of Yesilgöz and the outgoing cabinet still backs it.

Among the smaller parties, the animal rights party PvdD gains two seats from three to five, while the Socialist party (SP) would lose two of its five MPs.

Last week the newly elected MP Jimmy Dijk took over as leader of the SP from Lilian Marijnissen, who quit parliament in the wake of the party’s disappointing election result.

The farmers’ party BBB gains one seat to stand on eight, while the Christian Democrats lose one of their five. Migrants’ rights party DENK rises from three to four, while the hard-right JA21 would lose its sole MP, Joost Eerdmans.