Support for the ruling VVD continues to ebb away but is creeping up for the far right PVV and the pro-animal PvdD, according to the latest poll of polls.

The poll, a combination of I&O Research, Ipsos/EenVandaag and Kantar puts the right-wing Liberals on 22 to 26 seats – or between 14 % and 17 % support – seven seats down on its performance six months ago. The VVD won 34 seats, or nearly 23% of the vote in the March 2021 general election.

Political scientist Tom Louwerse, who produces the poll of polls or peilingwijzer, told NOS that the VVD is facing a more difficult time than in previous years when its support was so low.

‘[Mark] Rutte has been at the helm for 12 years and the party is jointly responsible for current policy, and that means for things that have not gone well in the past few years, such as the problems with Groningen gas and the tax office scandal,’ he said. ‘It is becoming more difficult to explain why the VVD should continue to rule.’

The polls indicate that VVD supporters are moving to the far right JA21 and to farmers’ party BBB.  BBB, which soared in the polls on the back of this summer’s farmers protests, is now over its peak but with up to 10% support is well above its current single seat in parliament.

The new poll gives Geert Wilders’ far right PVV between 18 and 22 seats, or between 11% and 14% support. The party won 17 seats in the general election. It would be the second biggest party in parliament if there were a general election tomorrow.